Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 3-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg | 
| 73.89% (  -0.06) | 14.98% (  0.03) | 11.13% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 58.82% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 71.85% (  -0.05) | 28.14% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 51.08% (  -0.06) | 48.92% (  0.06) | 
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.49% (  -0.02) | 6.51% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.7% (  -0.06) | 24.29% (  0.06) | 
| Strasbourg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.92% (  0.01) | 37.08% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.13% (  0.01) | 73.87% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg | 
| 2-0 @ 9.01% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 8.2% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.14% (  -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 5.6% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.56% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.04% (  -0) 5-0 @ 3.06% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.04% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.76% (  -0) 5-2 @ 1.51% (  -0) 6-0 @ 1.39% (  -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.38% (  -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.77% Total : 73.89% | 1-1 @ 6.54% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% (  0) 0-0 @ 2.41% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% (  0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 14.98% | 1-2 @ 3.25% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 2.4% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% (  0) 0-2 @ 1.19% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.07% (  0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.13% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 | 
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 | 
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 | 
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 | 
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 | 
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 | 
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 | 
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 | 
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 | 
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 | 
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 | 
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 | 
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 | 
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 | 
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 | 
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
