Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
71.81% | 17.02% | 11.18% |
Both teams to score 50.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% | 60.78% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.57% | 9.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.29% | 31.71% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.77% | 44.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.69% | 80.31% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.05% 5-0 @ 2.55% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.8% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.93% Total : 71.8% | 1-1 @ 8.04% 0-0 @ 4.17% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.4% 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.05% Total : 11.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |