Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
