Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg | 
| 51.02% | 25.16% | 23.82% | 
| Both teams to score 50.16% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.69% | 52.31% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.99% | 74.01% | 
| Marseille Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.49% | 20.51% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47% | 53% | 
| Strasbourg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.1% | 36.89% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.32% | 73.68% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg | 
| 1-0 @ 11.98% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.82% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 66 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 56 | 
| 3 | Lens | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 54 | 
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 51 | 
| 5 | Rennes | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 47 | 
| 6 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 46 | 
| 7 | Nice | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 43 | 
| 8 | Reims | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 43 | 
| 9 | Lorient | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 43 | 
| 10 | Lyon | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | 
| 11 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 35 | 
| 12 | Clermont | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 34 | 
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 33 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 | 
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 | 
| 16 | Brest | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 23 | 
| 17 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 23 | 
| 18 | Ajaccio | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 21 | 
| 19 | Troyes | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 20 | 
| 20 | Angers | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 10 | 
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