Napoli have been far less prolific since the start of April, and faced by a buoyant Bologna side that rarely loses at home they may have to settle for a point. The Rossoblu have come on in leaps and bounds since Thiago Motta was appointed, and they are not afraid of taking on Serie A's big boys.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.15) 
-0.2) 
