Boasting the sixth-best home record in Serie A this season, Bologna are more than capable of taking at least a point on Sunday, against a deflated and uninspired Juventus side. After all, Juve have won just one of their last seven matches and are particularly vulnerable to Thiago Motta's proactive approach.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.07) 
-0.09) 
