Bologna have netted two goals in five of their last six away games in Serie A, which ostensibly makes them favourites on Friday.
However, Verona are tough to beat at the Bentegodi in 2023, losing one of their seven home games, and their knack for scoring at home suggests this could end in a high-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
0.03) 
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