Verona have netted in all but one of their last six games at the Bentegodi, while Sassuolo have scored at least two goals or more in three of their last five road encounters, going unbeaten in that time.
This could be a high-scoring score draw between the Mastiffs and the Neroverdi.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
0.96) 
-0.16) 
