Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
