Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona | 
| 59.89% | 20.11% | 20% | 
| Both teams to score 61.73% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.46% | 34.54% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.53% | 56.47% | 
| Napoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.7% | 11.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.07% | 35.93% | 
| Hellas Verona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.59% | 30.41% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.39% | 66.61% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona | 
| 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 8.17% 1-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 7.07% 3-0 @ 5.94% 3-2 @ 4.21% 4-1 @ 3.85% 4-0 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.41% 5-2 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.9% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-1 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.8% Total : 20% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 61 | 
| 3 | Roma | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 | 
| 5 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 48 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 44 | 
| 8 | Bologna | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 44 | 
| 9 | Fiorentina | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 41 | 
| 10 | Udinese | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 39 | 
| 11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 38 | 
| 12 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 37 | 
| 14 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 | 
| 15 | Salernitana | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 23 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 15 | 
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