Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
| 23.64% | 23.31% | 53.05% |
| Both teams to score 55.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% | 44.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% | 67.15% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% | 32.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.51% | 69.5% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% | 16.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.14% | 46.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.64% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 5.22% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Torino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | SpeziaSpezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lecce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Empoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Salernitana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
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