Getafe are certainly capable of making this a tricky match for Atletico, but Simeone's side are in good shape heading into the new season, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to pick up all three points in their first match of the 2022-23 campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
-0.98) 
0.86) 
