The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga derby between Getafe and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 31.75% | 28.52% | 39.72% |
| Both teams to score 45.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
