Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.