Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.