Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shandong Taishan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shandong Taishan.