Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 43%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.