Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.