Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.