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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 17 | 5 | 29 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 17 | -3 | 25 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | New England Revolution | 17 | 1 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 66.24% ( | 19.43% ( | 14.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( | 41.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( | 64.26% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( | 11.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.04% ( | 36.96% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( | 41.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.06% ( | 77.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 3-0 @ 7.96% ( 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 5-1 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.43% | 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 1-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Dallas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
