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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for New England Revolution in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 38% ( | 23.93% ( | 38.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( | 40.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.13% ( | 62.86% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( | 21.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.57% ( | 54.43% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( | 21.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.61% ( | 54.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | DC United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Toronto | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Dallas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 |
