Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
25.25% | 22.98% | 51.77% |
Both teams to score 58.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.28% | 41.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.87% | 64.13% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% | 29.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% | 66.04% |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% | 16.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.32% | 45.68% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 6.42% 1-0 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.11% Total : 25.25% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 23 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 19 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 16 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Toronto | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 15 |
13 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 23 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 19 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 16 |
10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Toronto | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 15 |
13 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 14 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |