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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 64.76% ( | 19.99% ( | 15.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( | 42.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( | 64.87% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( | 12.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.8% ( | 38.2% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( | 40.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.85% ( | 77.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 4-0 @ 3.99% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 64.76% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 15.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
