Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hangzhou win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.