| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 17 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 0 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 18 | -3 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 55.14% ( | 23.62% ( | 21.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( | 48.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( | 70.86% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( | 17.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.92% ( | 48.07% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( | 37.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.84% ( | 74.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 21.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 |
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Toronto | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 |
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Toronto | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
