| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 | 
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 | 
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 | 
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 | 
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Portland Timbers | 
| 45.11% (  0.01) | 24.95% (  -0) | 29.94% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 55.81% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.74% (  -0) | 47.26% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.51% (  -0) | 69.49% (  0) | 
| Inter Miami Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.01% (  0) | 20.99% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.24% (  0) | 53.76% (  -0) | 
| Portland Timbers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.64% (  -0) | 29.35% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.66% (  -0.01) | 65.34% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inter Miami | Draw | Portland Timbers | 
| 1-0 @ 9.62% (  0) 2-1 @ 9.2% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.51% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.79% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.91% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.53% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.16% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.64% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 7.23% (  -0) 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.95% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% (  -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.94% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 | 
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 | 
| 3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 | 
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 | 
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 | 
| 6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 | 
| 7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 | 
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | 
| 9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 | 
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 | 
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 | 
| 14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 | 
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 | 
| 3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 | 
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 | 
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 | 
| 6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 | 
| 7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 | 
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | 
| 9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 | 
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 | 
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 | 
| 14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
