| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 45.11% ( | 24.95% ( | 29.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( | 47.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( | 69.49% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( | 20.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.24% ( | 53.76% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.66% ( | 65.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.55% 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
| 2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
| 7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
| 13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |