Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.