| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 60.5% ( | 21.07% ( | 18.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( | 41.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( | 63.96% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( | 13.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.84% ( | 40.16% ( |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( | 36.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.07% ( | 72.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 |
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 |
