Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.