| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 59.32% ( | 24.12% ( | 16.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( | 77.66% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( | 18.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.53% ( | 50.47% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% ( | 47.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.23% ( | 82.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% ( 2-0 @ 12.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 1-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
| 8 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 9 |
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