Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
