| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
| 26.97% ( | 24.33% ( | 48.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( | 46.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( | 68.65% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( | 19.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.27% ( | 50.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-1 @ 6.71% ( 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 3-0 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.97% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Vizela | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 20 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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