Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
