Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
62.81% | 21.47% | 15.71% |
Both teams to score 48.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.99% | 48.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.81% | 70.19% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.32% | 14.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.15% | 42.85% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.7% | 43.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.45% | 79.55% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.37% Total : 62.8% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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