

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 40.2% ( | 24.07% ( | 35.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( | 41.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( | 63.78% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( | 20.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.6% ( | 53.4% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( | 23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.2% ( | 56.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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