

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 40.38% ( | 24.9% ( | 34.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( | 22.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.03% ( | 55.97% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( | 25.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.72% ( | 60.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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