

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 42.92% ( | 24% ( | 33.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( | 41.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( | 64.07% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( | 19.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.38% ( | 51.62% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( | 24.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.89% ( | 59.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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