

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 33.46% ( | 24.21% ( | 42.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( | 42.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( | 64.92% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( | 24.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.63% ( | 59.36% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( | 20.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.38% ( | 52.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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