Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.