Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.