Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.