

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 50.24% ( | 24.05% ( | 25.71% ( | 
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.86% ( | 46.14% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.56% ( | 68.43% ( | 
| Oxford United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.59% ( | 18.41% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.44% ( | 49.56% ( | 
| Bristol Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.07% ( | 31.93% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.62% ( | 68.38% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers | 
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.24%  | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05%  | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.71%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
