Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.