Benfica 3-2 Braga - Taca de Portugal Round of 16 - Football

3 - 2

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

There has been little to separate Benfica and Braga in recent meetings, and another tightly-contested contest is set to be played out on Wednesday between two teams who will have confidence in their own abilities to secure the result that they need to advance to the quarter-finals. The absence of top scorer Banza is a blow for Braga, and they may find it difficult to outscore an in-form Benfica outfit who have found the net 14 times in their last five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Braga had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Braga
52.01% ( -0.26)	23.36% ( 0.19)	24.63% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-0.81)

44.03% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0.79)

66.41% (

0.8)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0.39)

16.95% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.96% (

-0.69)

47.04% (

0.7)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

-0.38)

31.67% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.91% (

-0.44)

68.09% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Benfica 52.01%

Braga 24.63%

Draw 23.35%

Benfica	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica

71.7%

Draw

13.2%

Braga

15.1%

Head to Head

Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 14

0-1

Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')

Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')

May 6, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 31

1-0

Silva (67')

Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm

Quarter-Finals

1-1

Braga win 5-4 on penalties

Elmusrati (36')

Guedes (15')

Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm

Gameweek 14

3-0

Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')

Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm

Gameweek 28

3-2

Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')

Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')