

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
| 79.39% ( | 13.31% ( | 7.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.59% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.81% ( | 55.19% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.38% ( | 6.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.41% ( | 24.59% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.05% ( | 48.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.08% ( | 83.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 11.94% ( 3-0 @ 10.81% ( 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 4-0 @ 7.34% ( 4-1 @ 5.24% ( 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 5-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 6-0 @ 1.8% ( 6-1 @ 1.29% ( 5-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 79.39% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 2-2 @ 3.05% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.31% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 1-2 @ 2.24% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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