

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense | 
| 46.8% (  0.07) | 24.46% (  0.03) | 28.74% (  -0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 56.7% (  -0.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.24% (  -0.2) | 45.76% (  0.21) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.92% (  -0.19) | 68.08% (  0.2) | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.35% (  -0.05) | 19.65% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.37% (  -0.08) | 51.63% (  0.09) | 
| SC Farense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.57% (  -0.18) | 29.43% (  0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.57% (  -0.22) | 65.43% (  0.22) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense | 
| 1-0 @ 9.41% (  0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.66% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 5.08% (  -0) 3-0 @ 4.15% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.26% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 11.51% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.08% (  0.03) 1-2 @ 7.04% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.33% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.76% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.74% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 | 
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
