Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
41.34% (![]() | 23.94% (![]() | 34.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.07% (![]() | 40.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.68% (![]() | 63.32% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% (![]() | 20.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% (![]() | 52.25% (![]() |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% (![]() | 23.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.71% (![]() | 57.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 10.93% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |