Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Montrose
Scottish League One | Gameweek 34
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Links Park
Dumbarton

Montrose
2 - 2
Dumbarton

Stirton (22'), Quinn (86')
Lyons (53'), Waddell (61'), Webster (62'), Gardyne (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pignatiello (41'), Wallace (62' pen.)
Durnan (18'), Kelly (20')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions
Last Game: QotS 2-1 Montrose
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-3 Cove Rangers
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
MontroseDrawDumbarton
41.34% (0.112 0.11)23.94% (0.15 0.15)34.72% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 61.3% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (-0.784 -0.78)40.93% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (-0.806 -0.81)63.32% (0.807 0.81)
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.27900000000001 -0.28)20.04% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.75% (-0.453 -0.45)52.25% (0.454 0.45)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.505 -0.5)23.33% (0.507 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71% (-0.743 -0.74)57.29% (0.746 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Montrose 41.34%
    Dumbarton 34.72%
    Draw 23.93%
MontroseDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.34%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.72%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
Dumbarton
2-3
Montrose
Ruth (19' pen.), Pignatiello (38')
Stirton (13' pen., 25'), Quinn (67')
Masson (19'), Waddell (31'), Dillon (87')
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Montrose
1-2
Dumbarton
McKenzie (81')
Webster (11'), Dillon (35'), Gardyne (45+4'), Quinn (83'), Watson (86')
Quinn (90+3')
Gray (25', 77')
Niang (37')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Dumbarton
0-1
Montrose
Hester (6')
Gardyne (74')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Dumbarton
0-0
Montrose
Carswell (69'), Paton (90')
Campbell (55'), Dillon (64')
Simpson (90+3')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Montrose
1-1
Dumbarton
Johnston (24')
Ballantyne (32'), Gardyne (43'), Dillon (76')
Watson (90+6')
Oyinsan (44')
Oyinsan (18'), Carswell (90+6'), Buchanan (90+7')