Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.