Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
38.65% (![]() | 24.69% | 36.66% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% | 66.58% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% (![]() | 22.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% (![]() | 56.43% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% (![]() | 57.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |