Valladolid

2 - 3

Osasuna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.