Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
31.12% (![]() | 26.92% (![]() | 41.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.12% (![]() | 54.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.83% (![]() | 76.17% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.59% (![]() | 32.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.07% (![]() | 68.93% (![]() |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% (![]() | 25.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.21% (![]() | 60.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 9.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.12% | 1-1 @ 12.76% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.33% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |